Having held a lucrative Dante festival in York, our top guide RaceOlly returned to his best bets on Saturday, picking five picks from Newbury and Newmarket…
It is very important to have a low draw in this, in 20 rounds no winner above eight has been drawn, and 16 of them have been drawn not above five. Ministry of Public Health He has a good draw in stall 3 and had excuses after dropping to five furlongs in the season’s debut in Nottingham. Form over six strong furlongs and reads 2113, the third in the included competition to have won again since then and is now rated 109. Mohi has a rating of only 97, but this race was a bit better than that and well worth playing at a hefty price. Clive Cox had a 20% win rate with his three-year-olds last year and is looking to build on that season this season.
I’m a gambler I got better with every run four wins in six gulps, no worse than good on the ground. He fought bravely to win in Hamilton last week and outstanding racing style and a good draw here is a huge plus. A return to recent sprints has been perfect in the breed as 35% of No Nay’s horses have ever laid down when sprinting and Mark Johnson has had an 18% win rate in sprints over the past five years, a number close to matching this season (17) %).
Zoom Interesting in this from a featherweight and with a step up in flight very well. Two good runs here already in the field of big novices/maidens and the last time he came out at Goodwood he came out great 9/2, but was caught for speed a short distance before he finished well, this 1m 2f move is perfect and Adaay three-year-olds have a 27% place rate.
natural path He won twice in his first season with Michael Bell last year, the last two being just 2 pounds less than running here. Was in great shape in Bahrain over the winter and an unlucky loser the last time when the early check up wasn’t perfect and only dropped a bit at the end though. She won over seven furlongs twice in France and the last one over Bahrain was over seven so no problem with the ride. Coach Michael Bell picked up three winners from the last six riders, two of them at the track on Thursday
Non-alcoholic It’s a hefty price tag here for a three-time winner of the first set and the headgear didn’t work last time and is quickly ignored now. The four-year-olds have won 14 of the last 19 rounds, the Fillies have a good record, one runner finished second last year, three runners a year before they finished second, sixth and changed place and one won the previous year. It will likely come close to the ratings and two previous visits to the track have resulted in two wins including a team race.